Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zhejiang Professional win with a probability of 54.33%. A win for Henan had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zhejiang Professional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Henan win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.