Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw has a probability of 18% and a win for Changchun Yatai has a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win is 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it is 1-2 (4.04%).