Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.