Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.