Championship

Championship | Gameweek 45

Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Sunderland

Nelson (29'), Helik (48')
Goodrham (14'), Rodrigues (28'), Vaulks (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mepham (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Sunderland
25.96% ( 0.05)	25.72% ( -0.02)	48.32% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.53% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.16% (

0.1)

52.84% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.54% (

0.09)

74.46% (

-0.08)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

0.1)

35.32% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

0.11)

72.08% (

-0.1)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.12% (

0.03)

21.88% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.87% (

0.04)

55.13% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 25.96%

Sunderland 48.32%

Draw 25.72%

Oxford United	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.96%	1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.32%