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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Sunderland

Oxford Utd
2 - 0
Sunderland

Nelson (29'), Helik (48')
Goodrham (14'), Rodrigues (28'), Vaulks (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mepham (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Oxford Utd
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Blackburn
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Sunderland

Sunderland may be experiencing a poor run of form, but they tend to fare well in meetings with Oxford, having won five of their previous six head-to-head matches. With that in mind, we think that the Black Cats will squeeze past the U's to bring an end to their four-game winless run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawSunderland
25.96% (0.055 0.05) 25.72% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 48.32% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.16% (0.104 0.1)52.84% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.54% (0.088999999999999 0.09)74.46% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (0.102 0.1)35.32% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (0.107 0.11)72.08% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)21.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.87% (0.038999999999994 0.04)55.13% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 25.96%
    Sunderland 48.32%
    Draw 25.72%
Oxford UnitedDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 8.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.96%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 7.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 48.32%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Sunderland

Oxford United
33.3%
Draw
30.6%
Sunderland
36.1%
36
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
2-0
Oxford Utd
Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
1-2
Sunderland
Moore (35')
Evans (16'), Embleton (89')
Matete (73'), Cirkin (81')
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Sunderland
1-1
Oxford Utd
Dajaku (7')
Wright (13'), Neill (40')
Taylor (36')
Brannagan (5'), Taylor (13')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Sunderland
3-1
Oxford Utd
Gooch (45+2'), McGeady (81'), Power (90+4')
McLaughlin (19'), Stewart (89'), Power (90+5')
Henry (21')
Sykes (25'), Barker (25'), Henry (54'), Moore (81')
Sykes (61')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Oxford Utd
0-2
Sunderland

Kelly (41')
O'Nien (47'), Gooch (82')
Power (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeeds UnitedLeeds4629134953065100
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd462881063362790
4Sunderland4621131258441476
5Coventry CityCoventry46209176458669
6Bristol City461717125955468
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn46199185348566
8Millwall461812164749-266
9West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4615191257471064
10Middlesbrough461810186456864
11Swansea CitySwansea461710195156-561
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds461513186069-958
13Norwich CityNorwich461415177168357
14Watford46169215361-857
15Queens Park RangersQPR461414185363-1056
16Portsmouth461412205871-1354
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461314194965-1653
18Stoke CityStoke461215194562-1751
19Derby CountyDerby461311224856-850
20Preston North EndPreston461020164859-1150
21Hull City461213214454-1049
RLuton TownLuton461310234569-2449
RPlymouth ArgylePlymouth461113225188-3746
RCardiff CityCardiff46917204873-2544


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