Championship Gameweek 16
Middlesbrough
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
Watford 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm
Bristol City 0 - 5 Norwich
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Scott Twine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw has a probability of 24.47% and a win for Bristol City has a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.27%) , while for a Bristol City win it is 0-1 (7.04%).

Result

Middlesbrough 53.8% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 24.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Bristol City 21.73% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.99% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.9% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 26.1% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 50.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.33% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 70.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.46% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 44.23%
Draw 38.48%
Bristol City 17.3%

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 63.55% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 7.39% ▼ (-0.05)
Bristol City 29.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 76.77%
Equal 8 8.76%
Under 8 14.47%
Over 9 66.12%
Equal 9 10.65%
Under 9 23.23%
Over 10.5 54.43%
Under 10.5 45.57%

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 49.57% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.43% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 75.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 3.5 89.7% ▼ (-0.05)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 56.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 43.61% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 23.45% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 76.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 7.2% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.83% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.17% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 53.8%
Draw 24.47%
Bristol City 21.73%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.67% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.34%
2-0 @ 9.04% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.16% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 53.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.7%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.47%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 7.04%
1-2 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.36%
1-3 @ 1.81% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 21.73%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 38
Middlesbrough
Mar 14, 2026 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
Bristol City
  • David Strelec 59' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 60' yellowcard
  • Leo Castledine 65' goal
  • Alex Gilbert 72' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 88' yellowcard
  • George Edmundson 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Noah Eile 35'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Morsy 53'
  • yellowcard Scott Twine 53'
  • yellowcard Sinclair Armstrong 58'
  • yellowcard Sam Bell 68'
  • yellowcard Max Bird 78'
  • yellowcard Tomi Horvat 82'
  • goal Adam Randell 90'+6'
Championship Gameweek 22
Bristol City
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Emil Riis Jakobsen 17' goal
  • Emil Riis 17' goal
  • Sinclair Armstrong 36' yellowcard
  • Rob Atkinson 62' goal
  • Cameron Pring 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Whittaker 25'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 33'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 87'
Championship Gameweek 34
Bristol City
Feb 21, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Robins High Performance Centre
Middlesbrough
  • George Earthy 72' goal
  • George Earthy 82' goal
  • goal Tommy Conway 37'
  • yellowcard Anfernee Dijksteel 57'
  • yellowcard Hayden Hackney 78'
Championship Gameweek 10
Middlesbrough
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
Bristol City
  • Hayden Hackney 3' yellowcard
  • Rav van den Berg 8' yellowcard
  • Finn Azaz 13' yellowcard
  • Ben Doak 50' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 56' yellowcard
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 27'
  • yellowcard Ross McCrorie 41'
  • yellowcard Luke McNally 43'
  • goal Yu Hirakawa 45'+2'
  • yellowcard George Earthy 83'
Championship Gameweek 31
Middlesbrough
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
Bristol City
  • Dan Barlaser 73' yellowcard
  • Sam Silvera 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jason Knight 16'
  • goal Matty James 17'
Championship Gameweek 17
Bristol City
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Middlesbrough
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 37' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 42' yellowcard
  • Tommy Conway 45'+1' goal
  • Mark Sykes 67' goal
  • Cameron Pring 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dael Fry 44'
  • goal Zak Vyner 50' (OG)
  • goal Matt Crooks 52'
  • yellowcard Sam Greenwood 63'

Form Data

Watford 0 - 0 Middlesbrough
Wrexham 2 - 0 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Charlton
Bolton 1 - 5 Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough 2 - 2 Cardiff
Stoke 2 - 3 Middlesbrough
Bristol City 0 - 5 Norwich
Bristol City 1 - 2 Wolves
Bolton 2 - 3 Bristol City
Stoke 0 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 0 - 1 Sheff Utd
Bristol City 0 - 1 Blackburn