Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 21, 2026 3.00pm
LNER Stadium

Lincoln City vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 3.00pm
QPR 2 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Mikkel Ladefoged

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Nov 7, 2026 12.30pm
Wrexham 1 - 1 Wolves
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Kieffer Moore

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lincoln City win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Wrexham has a probability of 32.4% and a draw has a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Wrexham win is 0-1 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.55%).

Result

Lincoln City 40.56%
Draw 27.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Wrexham 32.4% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.44% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 15.83% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 84.17% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 31.58%
Draw 44.57%
Wrexham 23.85%

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 49.34%
No Goal 7.35%
Wrexham 43.31%

Corners

Over 8 57.51%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 31.21%
Over 9 46.04%
Equal 9 11.47%
Under 9 42.49%
Over 10.5 35.31%
Under 10.5 64.69%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 40.16%
Under 1.5 59.84%
Over 2.5 16.73%
Under 2.5 83.27%
Over 3.5 5.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 67.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 32.4% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 33.73% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.27% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 87.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.83% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 40.56%
Draw 27.07%
Wrexham 32.41%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 9.86%
2-1 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.77%
3-1 @ 4.14%
3-0 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 27.07%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 32.41%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Reeco Hackett 73' yellowcard
  • Reeco Hackett 73' yellowcard
  • goal Elliot Lee 53'
  • goal Elliot Lee 53'
  • goal Ryan Longman 61'
  • goal Ryan Longman 61'
  • yellowcard Ryan Longman 62'
  • yellowcard Ryan Longman 62'
  • yellowcard James McClean 65'
  • yellowcard James McClean 65'
League One Gameweek 11
Nov 26, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT SToK Cae Ras
  • Lewis Brunt 11' yellowcard
  • Tendayi Darikwa 67' goal
National League
Nov 29, 2016 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Terry Hawkridge 15' goal
  • Sean Raggett 29' redcard
  • yellowcard Kai Edwards 10'
  • yellowcard Luke Coddington 15'
  • yellowcard Hamza Bencherif 15'
  • yellowcard Gerry McDonagh 57'
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 90'
National League
Oct 4, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Sean Newton 22' yellowcard
  • Tyler Harvey 55' yellowcard
  • Shaun Harrad 59' yellowcard
  • Hamza Bencherif 82' goal
  • Curtis Tilt 90' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Waterfall 31'
  • goal Harry Anderson 45'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 87'
National League
Jan 23, 2016 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Wes York 36' goal
  • Connor Jennings 48' goal
  • Simon Heslop 86' goal
  • goal Matthew Rhead 14'
  • yellowcard Luke Waterfall 53'
  • yellowcard Alan Power 57'
  • yellowcard Craig Stanley 67'
National League
Sep 5, 2015 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Matt Sparrow 50' yellowcard
  • Matt Rhead 70' goal
  • goal James Gray 56'
  • yellowcard Jamal Fyfield 64'