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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 32.7% | 27.62% | 39.68% |
| Both teams to score 48.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.84% | 57.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.98% | 78.03% |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% | 69.01% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% | 28.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% | 63.81% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.7% | 1-1 @ 13.03% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 8.26% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 1.96% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.68% |