Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.68%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.