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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.72%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 2-1 (7.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.11%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 40.72% | 30.94% | 28.34% |
| Both teams to score 38.47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.2% | 68.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.54% | 86.46% |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.6% | 33.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.98% | 70.03% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% | 42.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.35% | 78.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 15.47% 2-0 @ 8.49% 2-1 @ 7.31% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-1 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.53% Total : 40.72% | 0-0 @ 14.11% 1-1 @ 13.33% 2-2 @ 3.15% Other @ 0.35% Total : 30.94% | 0-1 @ 12.15% 1-2 @ 5.74% 0-2 @ 5.24% 1-3 @ 1.65% 0-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.14% Total : 28.33% |