Champions League

Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
0 - 1
Bodo/Glimt

Buksa (17'), Jansson (28'), Nanasi (67'), Franculino (69'), Petrovic (74' og.), Olatunji (78'), Mak (90+3')
Bolin (45+4'), Botheim (52'), Bajric (57'), Vitik (65'), Nene (69'), Krasniqi (84'), Kashia (84'), Nanasi (87'), Moutinho (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Taison (42'), Dieguez (58' og.), Dawa (61'), Rahman (75')
Gustavo (18'), Tejera (18'), Susic (36'), Cretu (41'), Cisse (42'), Tarnovanu (43'), Popa (43'), Dawa (55'), Kostadinov (67'), Rahman (70'), Sastre (72'), Moe (73'), Abu Fani (74'), Rommens (83'), M (84'), Phelipe (90+4'), Edjouma (90+8'), Radunovic (90+9'), Ozdoyev (90+2')

Coverage of the Champions League Third Qualifying Round clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Bodo/Glimt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 1-0 Podbrezova
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Slovak First Football League

Goals
for

APOEL

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Petrocub 1-1 APOEL
Tuesday, July 30 at 6pm in Champions League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Slovan Bratislava	5	2.50	Barseghyan
2	Dunajska Streda	4	2.00	Almasi
3	Banska Bystrica	2	1.00	Rymarkeno
4	FK Kosice	2	1.00	Medved
5	Trencin	2	1.00	Emeka
6	Komarno	1	0.50	Sylvestr
7	Ruzomberok	1	1.00	Boda
8	Skalica	1	0.50	Ranko
9	Podbrezova	0	0.00
10	Spartak Trnava	0	0.00
11	Michalovce	0	0.00
12	Zilina	0	0.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovan Bratislava win with a probability of 53.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for APOEL had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovan Bratislava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for an APOEL win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slovan Bratislava would win this match.

Result
Slovan Bratislava	Draw	APOEL
53.08% ( -4.78)	24.5% ( 2.35)	22.42% ( 2.43)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-3.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.95% (

-6.97)

51.05% (

6.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.09% (

-6.45)

72.91% (

6.45)

Slovan Bratislava Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.82% (

-4.22)

19.18% (

4.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.14% (

-7.48)

50.86% (

7.48)

APOEL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.49% (

-1.54)

37.51% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.71% (

-1.55)

74.29% (

1.55)

Score Analysis

Slovan Bratislava 53.08%

APOEL 22.42%

Draw 24.5%

Slovan Bratislava	Draw	APOEL
1-0 @ 11.88% ( 1.66) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.31) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.75) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( -1) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.62) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.8) 4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.46) Other @ 3.01% Total : 53.08%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 1.2) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 1.82) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.36) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.5%	0-1 @ 7.06% ( 1.55) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.65) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.42%