Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 23, 2025 at 12am UK
Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado

Carabobo
1 - 1
Universidad

Tortolero (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aranguiz (42' pen.)
Calderon (21'), Zaldivia (25'), Marcelo Hormazabal Berrios (55'), Contreras (88')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Carabobo and Universidad de Chile.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carabobo

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Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Carabobo
Tuesday, April 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Universidad de Chile

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Last Game: Estudiantes 1-2 Universidad
Wednesday, April 9 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Carabobo had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Carabobo win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CaraboboDrawUniversidad de Chile
28.89% (-0.269 -0.27)27.24% (0.36 0.36)43.87% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Both teams to score 48.14% (-1.188 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.06% (-1.453 -1.45)56.93% (1.449 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.16% (-1.176 -1.18)77.84% (1.173 1.17)
Carabobo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.85% (-0.98099999999999 -0.98)35.14% (0.977 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.1% (-1.04 -1.04)71.89% (1.036 1.04)
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.22% (-0.702 -0.7)25.77% (0.699 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.28% (-0.961 -0.96)60.72% (0.957 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Carabobo 28.89%
    Universidad de Chile 43.87%
    Draw 27.24%
CaraboboDrawUniversidad de Chile
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.272 0.27)
2-1 @ 6.72% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.95% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 28.89%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.06% (0.491 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.24%
0-1 @ 12.28% (0.43 0.43)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8.33% (0.128 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 43.87%

How you voted: Carabobo vs Universidad

Carabobo
50.0%
Draw
0.0%
Universidad de Chile
50.0%
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