Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.