International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2026 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saputo
  • Jake O'Brien 23' goal
  • Derek Cornelius 47' yellowcard
  • Cyle Larin 57' yellowcard
  • Jesse Marsch 67' yellowcard
  • goal Chiedozie Ogbene 60'
  • yellowcard Jamie McGrath 64'

Canada vs Republic of Ireland - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Jun 2, 2026 2.00am
Canada 2 - 0 Uzbekistan

Republic of Ireland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 28, 2026 7.45pm
Rep. Ireland 1 - 0 Qatar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Republic of Ireland had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Republic of Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Canada 56.54% (+0.02)
Draw 26.9%
Republic of Ireland 16.56% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 64.44% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 35.56% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 37.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 62.21% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 18.52%
Under 3.5 81.48%
Over 4.5 10.24% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 89.76% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Canada 42.37% (+0.13)
Draw 43.65% (-0.14)
Republic of Ireland 13.98%

Team To Score First

Canada 66.99% (+0.15)
No Goal 11.19% (-0.01)
Republic of Ireland 21.82% (-0.13)

Corners

Over 8 53.59% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.81%
Under 8 34.61% (+0.07)
Over 9 41.95% (-0.05)
Equal 9 11.63% (-0.01)
Under 9 46.41% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 31.42% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 68.58% (+0.04)

Canada Goals

Over 1.5 44.16% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.84% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.27% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 80.73% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.9% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.1% (-0.04)

Republic of Ireland Goals

Over 0.5 46.9% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 53.1% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 14.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 85.4% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 3.39%
Under 2.5 96.61%
Over 3.5 0.71%
Under 3.5 99.29%

Score analysis

Canada 56.55%
Draw 26.91%
Republic of Ireland 16.56%
Canada
1-0 @ 16.97%
2-0 @ 12.15% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.07% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.21% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.02)
Other @ 6.74% (+0.04)
Total : 56.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 11.19% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.91%
Republic of Ireland
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 2.65%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 16.56%

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