/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbullog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fbellog_1.png)
-
Vasil Panayotov
12'
-
Fabian Nurnberger
31'
-
Georgi Milanov
56'
-
Victor Popov
77'
-
Dmitriy Prishchepa
10'
-
Max Ebong
53'
-
Sergei Karpovich
62'
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Evgeni Yablonski
64'
-
Yury Kavalyow
70'
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Syarhey Palitsevich
85'
Bulgaria vs Belarus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 35.16%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.98%) and 1-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (13.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result
Bulgaria
33.51%
▼
(-0.63)
Draw
31.33%
▲
(+0.10)
Belarus
35.16%
▲
(+0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
38.76%
▼
(-0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5
30.95%
▼
(-0.28)
Under 2.5
69.05%
▲
(+0.28)
Over 3.5
13.38%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 3.5
86.62%
▲
(+0.18)
Over 4.5
4.82%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 4.5
95.18%
▲
(+0.09)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5
61.67%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 0.5
38.33%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 1.5
24.91%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
75.08%
▲
(+0.59)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5
62.84%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
37.15%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
26.06%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
73.94%
▼
(-0.22)
Score analysis
Bulgaria
33.5%
Draw
31.33%
Belarus
35.15%
Bulgaria
1-0
@
13.65%
▼
(-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 33.5%
2-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.16)
2-1 @ 6.48% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 33.5%
Draw
0-0
@
14.24%
▲
(+0.16)
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.33%
1-1 @ 13.52%
2-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.33%
Belarus
0-1
@
14.09%
▲
(+0.23)
0-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 35.15%
0-2 @ 6.98% ▲ (+0.16)
1-2 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 35.15%
Filip Krastev
74'