Club Friendlies 3
Jul 29, 2026 7.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
  • Sam Greenwood 26' goal
  • Lorent Tolaj 29' goal
  • Max Bird  50' goal
  • Sven Botman 81' goal
  • goal Harvey Barnes 78'

Bristol City vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.00pm
Forest Green 3 - 2 Bristol City

Newcastle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 12.30pm
Gateshead 1 - 1 Newcastle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%).

Result

Bristol City 33.24% (-3.82)
Draw 25.74% (-0.82)
Newcastle United 41.03% (+4.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.84% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.29% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 21.71% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 56% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 44% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 33.16% (-0.20)
Under 3.5 66.84% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 19.15% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 80.85% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

Bristol City 30.96% (-1.05)
Draw 40.05% (-0.93)
Newcastle United 28.99% (+1.97)

Team To Score First

Bristol City 46.68% (-1.46)
No Goal 6.65% (-0.14)
Newcastle United 46.67% (+1.60)

Corners

Over 8 62.37% (+0.83)
Equal 8 10.98% (-0.21)
Under 8 26.65% (-0.63)
Over 9 50.77% (+0.99)
Equal 9 11.61% (-0.16)
Under 9 37.63% (-0.83)
Over 10.5 39.52% (+1.05)
Under 10.5 60.48% (-1.05)

Bristol City Goals

Over 1.5 36.79% (-3.49)
Under 1.5 63.21% (+3.49)
Over 2.5 14.71% (-2.40)
Under 2.5 85.29% (+2.40)
Over 3.5 4.64% (-1.04)
Under 3.5 95.36% (+1.05)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 74.41% (+2.65)
Under 0.5 25.59% (-2.65)
Over 1.5 43.7% (+3.32)
Under 1.5 56.3% (-3.32)
Over 2.5 19.7% (+2.31)
Under 2.5 80.3% (-2.32)
Over 3.5 7.42% (+1.04)
Under 3.5 92.58% (-1.04)

Score analysis

Bristol City 33.24%
Draw 25.74%
Newcastle United 41.03%
Bristol City
2-1 @ 7.89% (-0.54)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.57)
2-0 @ 4.88% (-0.64)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.44)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.30)
3-0 @ 2.34% (-0.44)
Other @ 4.51% (-0.94)
Total : 33.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.18)
Other @ 0.13% (-0.11)
Total : 25.74%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 8.92% (+0.70)
0-1 @ 7.85% (+0.55)
0-2 @ 6.02% (+0.72)
1-3 @ 4.2% (+0.54)
0-3 @ 3.68% (+0.71)
2-3 @ 3.07% (+0.21)
Other @ 7.29% (+1.14)
Total : 41.03%

Head to Head

Championship
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Korey Smith 59' goal
  • Ciaran Clark 82' goal
  • goal Aaron Wilbraham 11'
  • goal David Cotterill 21'
  • yellowcard Aaron Wilbraham 51'
Championship
Aug 20, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Freeman 33' yellowcard
  • Lee Tomlin 45' yellowcard
  • Mark Little 55' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Gayle 19'
Championship
Mar 20, 2010 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lewin Nyatanga 10' goal
  • Jamie McAllister 16' yellowcard
  • Nicky Maynard 44' goal
  • yellowcard Fabricio Coloccini 46'
  • yellowcard Danny Guthrie 59'
  • goal Jonas Gutierrez 71'
  • goal Andy Carroll 75'
Championship
Oct 3, 2009 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zurab Khizanishvili 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Saborio 45'
  • yellowcard Louis Carey 53'