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Watford logo
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 15, 2020 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Brentford logo

Watford
1 - 1
Brentford

Deeney (60' pen.)
Kabasele (76'), Deeney (87'), Troost-Ekong (90+1'), Sarr (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toney (63' pen.)
Pinnock (58')

Preview: Watford vs. Brentford - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Watford and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brentford visit Watford on Tuesday evening looking to extend their unbeaten return in the Championship to 12 matches.

Sitting just two points in front of the visitors, the fourth-placed Hornets must avoid defeat to remain ahead of the Bees in the standings.


Match preview

Brentford manager Thomas Frank pictured on November 7, 2020© Reuters

After failing to win either of their home fixtures against Blackburn Rovers and Derby County, Thomas Frank was aware that his Brentford side needed to produce a performance against Nottingham Forest on Saturday afternoon.

While the Bees left it late to wrap up the three points at the City Ground, getting over the line was all that mattered as they bid to remain in the hunt for automatic promotion.

Their 11-match unbeaten run has featured six draws, but collecting 21 points at almost two points per game is on par with what second-placed Bournemouth have earned over the course of the season.

The short trip to Vicarage Road represents one of their toughest fixtures of the season, although Brentford now possess the second-best away record in the division.

On the flipside, Watford have recorded the most points in home matches since the start of the campaign with 22 coming from just nine fixtures.

Their sole defeat in Hertfordshire came as recently as the start of December, but Vladimir Ivic has witnessed his players shake off the setback against Cardiff City with back-to-back wins.

Although victories against Rotherham United and Birmingham City did not come as a huge surprise, the results were required to keep Watford in the top six.

Ivic continues to come in for his fair share of criticism regarding his team's return in the final third, but there can be few complaints with the club sitting just four points adrift of the leaders.

Despite the possibility of at least one significant outgoing during the January window, Watford remaining in the hunt for automatic promotion may convince some high-profile squad members to commit their short-term futures to the club.

Watford Championship form: DWDLWW

Brentford Championship form: WWWDDW


Team News

Watford manager Vladimir Ivic pictured in November 2020© Reuters

Despite the short turnaround, Ivic is likely to keep changes to his Watford XI down to a minimum.

Etienne Capoue may come back into the centre of midfield, but Troy Deeney should keep his spot ahead of Stipe Perica.

Frank could hand a recall to Pontus Jansson after the Sweden international remained as an unused substitute at the weekend.

Josh Dasilva is expected to feature after coming off the bench to score at the City Ground, while Sergi Canos is in line to take the place of Tariqe Fosu-Henry.

Watford possible starting lineup:
Foster; Ngakia, Troost-Ekong, Wilmot, Femenia; Capoue, Chalobah, Cleverley; Quina, Deeney, Sema

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Raya; Dalsgaard, Pinnock, Jansson, Henry; Dasilva, Janelt, Jensen; Mbuemo, Toney, Canos


SM words green background

We say: Watford 1-1 Brentford

While both teams will look to show ambition in the final third during this fixture, a contest between two strong outfits at this level could end in a low-scoring draw. All things considered, both managers would accept such a result at this stage of the campaign.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Watford vs Brentford

Watford
53.6%
Draw
31.3%
Brentford
15.2%
112
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Troy Deeney celebrates after scoring for for Watford against Birmingham City in the Championship on December 12, 2020
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