Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba vs Vitoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 12.00am
Corinthians 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Renê

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coritiba win with a probability of 48.47%. A draw has a probability of 27.43% and a win for Vitoria has a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.76%) , while for a Vitoria win it is 0-1 (7.97%).

Result

Coritiba 48.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 27.43%
Vitoria 24.11% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.76%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.9% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 31.1% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 43.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 22.39%
Under 3.5 77.61%
Over 4.5 11.68%
Under 4.5 88.32%

First Half Winner

Coritiba 34.42%
Draw 45.81%
Vitoria 19.77%

Team To Score First

Coritiba 56.13%
No Goal 9.35%
Vitoria 34.52%

Corners

Over 8 60.58%
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 28.42%
Over 9 49.12%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 39.42%
Over 10.5 38.15%
Under 10.5 61.85%

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 41.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 58.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 16.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.58% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.42% ▲ (+0.02)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5 57.76%
Under 0.5 42.24%
Over 1.5 23.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 76.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Coritiba 48.47%
Draw 27.43%
Vitoria 24.11%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 13.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 2.15%
Other @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 48.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 9.35%
2-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.43%
Vitoria
0-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59%
0-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.64% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.11%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 2, 2026 10.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
  • Renê 15' goal
  • Zé Vitor 28' goal
  • Diego Tarzia 46' yellowcard
  • Diego Tarzia 55' goal
  • Erick 61' yellowcard
  • Ronald 64' yellowcard
  • Edenilson 64' yellowcard
  • Neris 75' yellowcard
  • Marinho  79' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Rocha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard JP Chermont 62'
  • yellowcard Renato Marques  63'
  • yellowcard Vini Paulista 63'
  • yellowcard JP Chermont 63'
  • yellowcard Gustavo 75'