Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 51.47% | 26.27% | 22.26% |
| Both teams to score 45.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.22% | 57.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.49% | 78.51% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.44% | 22.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.85% | 56.15% |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% | 41.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.03% | 77.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Cuiaba |
| 1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.13% 3-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-2 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.47% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 9.36% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 5.4% 0-2 @ 3.62% 1-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.18% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.18% Total : 22.26% |


