We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-0 Cuiaba
This will be a tough match to call, but Paranaense know what it takes to remain in the top flight, and even though they have not experienced the kind of danger that they are in right now, they possess a lot of individual quality that can make the difference.
Cuiaba have had a decent campaign considering it is their first experience playing at this level, but all of this is brand new to them, and it appears as though the pressure is starting to get to them.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
