Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.