Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
| Result | ||
| Corinthians | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 63.51% | 21.86% | 14.62% |
| Both teams to score 44.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.46% | 51.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.66% | 73.33% |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% | 15.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% | 44.63% |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.04% | 46.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.54% | 82.45% |
| Score Analysis |
| Corinthians | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 13.61% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 5.91% 4-0 @ 3.63% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.24% 5-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.95% Total : 63.5% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.85% | 0-1 @ 5.55% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.1% 1-3 @ 0.98% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.2% Total : 14.62% |


