/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flogdor.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbaylog.png)
-
Fábio Silva
75'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
90'
-
Nathaniel Brown
28'
-
Michael Olise
45'+1'
-
Luis Díaz
45'+1'
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.04%) and 1-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.12%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result
Borussia Dortmund
37.17%
▼
(-0.54)
Draw
19.6%
▲
(+1.33)
Bayern Munich
43.22%
▼
(-0.81)
Both Teams to Score:
65.24%
▼
(-0.35)
Goals
Over 1.5
86.6%
▼
(-0.59)
Under 1.5
13.4%
▲
(+0.59)
Over 2.5
69.77%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 2.5
30.23%
▲
(+1.34)
Over 3.5
49%
▼
(-1.75)
Under 3.5
51%
▲
(+1.75)
Over 4.5
33.89%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 4.5
66.11%
▲
(+1.29)
First Half Winner
Borussia Dortmund
29.63%
▼
(-1.52)
Draw
34.77%
▲
(+0.14)
Bayern Munich
35.6%
▲
(+1.39)
Team To Score First
Borussia Dortmund
50.47%
▼
(-3.15)
No Goal
2.95%
▲
(+0.42)
Bayern Munich
46.58%
▲
(+2.74)
Corners
Over 8
53.18%
▼
(-3.60)
Equal 8
10.74%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 8
36.08%
▲
(+3.29)
Over 9
42.59%
▼
(-3.60)
Equal 9
10.59%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
46.82%
▲
(+3.60)
Over 10.5
32.92%
▼
(-3.33)
Under 10.5
67.08%
▲
(+3.33)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 1.5
44.09%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 1.5
55.91%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 2.5
23.08%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 2.5
76.92%
▲
(+0.61)
Over 3.5
9.54%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
90.46%
▲
(+0.40)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5
75.7%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
24.3%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
51.06%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 1.5
48.94%
▲
(+1.11)
Over 2.5
28.53%
▼
(-0.60)
Under 2.5
71.47%
▲
(+0.60)
Over 3.5
14.63%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 3.5
85.37%
▲
(+0.53)
Score analysis
Borussia Dortmund
37.16%
Draw
19.61%
Bayern Munich
43.22%
Borussia Dortmund
2-1
@
7.12%
▲
(+0.17)
1-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 37.16%
1-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.14)
3-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 4.17% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 9.11% ▼ (-0.48)
Total : 37.16%
Draw
1-1
@
8.04%
▲
(+0.77)
2-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.42)
3-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 19.61%
2-2 @ 6.01% ▼ (-0.08)
0-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.42)
3-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.43% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 19.61%
Bayern Munich
1-2
@
7.63%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 14.2% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 43.22%
0-1 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.21)
1-3 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 3.71% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 14.2% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 43.22%
Head to Head
-
Nico Schlotterbeck
26'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
45'
-
Ramy Bensebaini
45'+5'
-
Serhou Guirassy
67'
-
Jobe Bellingham
74'
-
Samuele Inácio
75'
-
Julian Brandt
75'
-
Jobe Bellingham
75'
-
Daniel Svensson
83'
-
Harry Kane
54'
-
Jamal Musiala
62'
-
Harry Kane
70'
-
Joshua Kimmich
87'
-
Tom Bischof
90'
-
Leon Goretzka
90'
-
Min-jae Kim
90'
-
Min-jae Kim
90'+2'
-
Leon Goretzka
90'+2'