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Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 7
Nov 8, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Napoli logo

Bologna
0 - 1
Napoli


Dominguez (25'), Larangeira (27'), Schouten (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Osimhen (23')

Preview: Bologna vs. Napoli - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli, including predictions and team news.

Napoli will be aiming to climb back into the Serie A top four when they travel to Bologna on Sunday.

Gennaro Gattuso's side lost 2-0 to Sassuolo last weekend to drop to fifth, while Bologna got only a second win of the season as they beat Cagliari 3-2.


Match preview

Napoli head coach Gennaro Gattuso pictured on October 17, 2020© Reuters

Napoli recovered from defeat to Sassuolo with a 2-1 victory in the Europa League over HNK Rijeka on Thursday night.

They trailed against the Croatian side, but Diego Demme drew them level with a tap in before an own goal from Filip Braut proved to be the decisive moment.

Attention now turns to making up ground in the league, as they sit five points behind early league leaders AC Milan.

Napoli average the most shots per game in Serie A (19) so the potential is there for a strong season for Gli Azzurri after a disappointing seventh place finish in 2019-20 – their lowest final position in 11 years.

They have not beaten Bologna in their last three attempts, but have happy memories from this fixture after winning 7-1 at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in 2017 - their biggest-ever Serie A away win.

Bologna manager Sinisa Mihajlovic pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Bologna are unlikely to concede quite that many this time around, but the chances of them keeping a clean sheet seem pretty slim.

After letting in two goals against Cagliari last weekend, Sinisa Mihajlovic's side now hold the unwanted all-time record in Europe's top five leagues of conceding in 39 consecutive league games, surpassing MSV Duisburg's run of 38 matches in 1975.

Nonetheless, they did beat Gli Isolani thanks to a brace from Musa Barrow and Roberto Soriano's strike from outside of the box.

The win lifted them to 13th in the table, but they are still only two points above the relegation zone heading into Sunday's game.

Bologna Serie A form: LWLLLW
Bologna form (all competitions): WLLLWW

Napoli Serie A form: WWLWWL
Napoli form (all competitions): WLWWLW


Team News

Napoli players celebrate scoring against Rijeka in the Europa League on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Sinisa Mihajlovic has rarely changed his starting lineup this season and could name the same XI for the second match in a row, particularly after victory over Cagliari.

This is in part down to Bologna's hefty injury list, with the likes of Nicola Sansone, Gary Medel and Andrea Poli all currently sidelined.

Kostas Manolas, Tiemoue Bakayoko and Victor Osimhen were all rested against Rijeka but should return to the Napoli side.

Neither Alex Meret nor David Ospina has been able to nail down the number one spot so far this season, so the latter may get the nod on Sunday simply because he sat out the Europa League game.

Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Silvestri, Danilo, Tomiyasu, Hickey; Schouten, Svanberg; Orsolini, Soriano, Barrow; Palacio

Napoli possible starting lineup:
Ospina; Lorenzo, Manolas, Koulibaly, Hysaj; Ruiz, Bakayoko; Lozano, Mertens, Insigne; Osimhen


SM words green background

We say: Bologna 1-3 Napoli

Based on Bologna's poor defensive record, Napoli's talented frontline could come into their own on Sunday. Gattuso's side should claim victory, but Bologna are also in good scoring form, so a clean sheet seems unlikely for either team.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Written by
Olly Allen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Napoli?

Bologna
7.4%
Draw
0.0%
Napoli
92.6%
27
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