Copa Sudamericana
Sep 9, 2026 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Alberto José Armando
  • Miguel Merentiel 52' goal
  • Enner Valencia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Calleri  70'
  • yellowcard Dorival Júnior 75'

Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Boca Juniors

All competitions

Sao Paulo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.57% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood.

Result

Boca Juniors 54.15% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Sao Paulo 19.28%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.18%

Goals

Over 1.5 65.42% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 34.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 19.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 80.98% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 10.62% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 4.5 89.38% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Boca Juniors 38.61%
Draw 45.53%
Sao Paulo 15.86%

Team To Score First

Boca Juniors 61.7% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 10.58% ▲ (+0.03)
Sao Paulo 27.72% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 53.07%
Equal 8 10.93%
Under 8 36%
Over 9 42.31%
Equal 9 10.76%
Under 9 46.93%
Over 10.5 32.51%
Under 10.5 67.49%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 1.5 43.12% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 56.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 18.33% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.67% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.62% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.38% ▲ (+0.02)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 50.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 49.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 16.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 83.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 4.86% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 95.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.92% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Boca Juniors 54.14%
Draw 26.57%
Sao Paulo 19.27%
Boca Juniors
1-0 @ 16.08%
2-0 @ 11.21%
2-1 @ 9.32%
3-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 6.44% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 54.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 10.58% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.57%
Sao Paulo
0-1 @ 7.9%
1-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.82%
1-3 @ 1.16%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 19.27%