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Blackburn logo
Championship | Gameweek 45
Jul 18, 2020 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Reading logo

Blackburn
4 - 3
Reading

Brereton (3'), Armstrong (6'), Rothwell (56'), Gallagher (87')
Davenport (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Swift (15'), Baldock (64'), Meite (68')

Preview: Blackburn Rovers vs. Reading - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship game between Blackburn Rovers and Reading, including team news and predicted lineups.

Blackburn Rovers and Reading meet on Saturday afternoon with little to play for during the closing two games of the Championship campaign.

However, having both suffered defeats in midweek, there will be an eagerness to return to winning ways at Ewood Park.


Match preview

Blackburn Rovers boss Tony Mowbray on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Having held promotion-chasing West Bromwich Albion to a draw at the weekend, Blackburn would have had high hopes of retaining their slender hopes of earning a spot in the playoffs.

However, the 1-0 defeat at Millwall on Tuesday night has left Rovers seven points adrift with two matches remaining, ending their chances of a return to the Premier League this season.

Despite the disappointment, Tony Mowbray will be keen to keep his players motivated at a time when the club are hoping to achieve their highest placing in the league pyramid since 2015.

For that to be achieved, Blackburn need to overhaul the two-point deficit to Preston North End in ninth place, while also hoping that they can record better results than Bristol City and Derby County respectively.

As far as Reading are concerned, Mark Bowen will have been preparing for next season since the early days of the month, aware that the Royals had realistically done enough to remain the division.

Like their hosts, however, there will be a desire to secure one of their best placings over the past six seasons, with four of the last five being 17th position or lower.

Currently sitting in 14th spot and with nearest challengers Wigan due to be deducted 12 points, there is a window of opportunity for Reading to make headway up the table without much pressure behind them.

There is also just a four-point gap to their next opponents, creating a scenario where Reading can progress to the brink of mid-table with a third victory in five outings.

Blackburn Rovers Championship form: LLLWDL

Reading Championship form: LLWDWL


Team News

Reading defender Matt Miazga pictured in November 2019© Reuters

Reading manager Bowen could take the chance to hand a recall to centre-back Matt Miazga.

Jordan Obita may also come back into the team down the left-hand side, getting the nod over Michael Olise.

Mowbray is expected to make a number of changes to his Blackburn starting lineup, which should include a recall for Ryan Nyambe.

Joe Rothwell is knocking on the door for a spot in midfield, potentially as a replacement for Lewis Travis.

Sam Gallagher could to be provided with another opportunity in the final third.

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Walton; Nyambe, Lenihan, Adarabioyo, Rakin-Costello; Rothwell, Johnson, Downing; Samuel, Gallagher, Armstrong

Reading possible starting lineup:
Cabral; Osho, Miazga, McIntyre, Blackett; Moore; Meite, Rinomhota, Swift, Obita; Puscas


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Blackburn Rovers 1-1 Reading

All things considered, this is a difficult match to call. However, we are favouring the visitors, who have shown more consistency than their hosts in recent weeks.



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
16Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
17Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth193882134-1317
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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