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Besiktas
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Inonu Stadium
Alanyaspor

Besiktas
4 - 1
Alanyaspor

Batshuayi (2', 43'), Souza (25'), Yalcin (78')
Welinton (46'), Batshuayi (60'), Ismael (66')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Karaca (23')

Preview: Besiktas vs. Alanyaspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Besiktas and Alanyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Besiktas will bid to end a five-game winless run in all competitions when they play host to Alanyaspor on Saturday.

The visitors, who sit in fourth place, are in fine form after winning four of their last five Super Lig matches.


Match preview

Besiktas' Cyle Larin celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

The home side's European hopes have been dealt a blow in recent weeks with Besiktas winless in their last four league matches.

Three of those four contests ended in draws, with Besiktas's inability to convert draws into victories hindering their progress.

Their most recent point came in dramatic circumstances, as the Black Eagles held the league leaders Trabzonspor to a 1-1 draw, despite Besiktas falling behind courtesy of Andreas Cornelius's opener.

Michy Batshuayi spurned an opportunity to equalise from the spot, but his blushes were spared when Valentin Rosier restored parity and although the Black Eagles were reduced to 10-men following Cyle Larin's red card, they held firm to claim a point.

Although Besiktas are currently five points adrift of the top four, Saturday's contest against fourth-placed Alanyaspor represents a chance to close the gap.

Besiktas goalkeeper Ersin Destanoglu pictured in January 2021© Reuters

However, Alanyaspor will be battling hard to hold onto their top-four spot, as they enter Saturday's contest with a two-point gap to fifth-placed Istanbul Basaksehir.

After suffering a 5-2 defeat to Fenerbahce, Saturday's visitors bounced back in impressive fashion, claiming victory in their last two matches.

Goztepe were ousted by a 2-0 scoreline before they edged out Caykur Rizespor last weekend to keep them firmly on track for European qualification.

Emre Akbaba gave his side an early lead against Caykur Rizespor before Efecan Karaca doubled Alanyaspor's advantage from the spot, and though Papiss Cisse cut the deficit, Francesco Farioli's charges held firm to clinch back-to-back victories.

With Besiktas representing tough opposition, Alanyaspor will look to draw inspiration from the 2-0 victory that they picked up against the Black Eagles in the reverse fixture.

Besiktas Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Besiktas form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • D

Alanyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Alanyaspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W



Team News

Miralem Pjanic in action for Besiktas in November 2021© Reuters

Larin was sent off within 12 minutes of entering the action against Trabzonspor, ruling the Canadian out of Saturday's contest due to suspension.

Despite missing a spot kick, Batshuayi is expected to retain his place in the starting lineup with the Chelsea loanee looking to add to the 12 league goals that he has scored this season.

Miralem Pjanic will be on the bench for the hosts after returning from injury to feature as a substitute last weekend.

Alanyaspor, meanwhile, could be without Famara Diedhiou who missed the win over Caykur Rizespor through injury.

Farioli is expected to keep changes to a minimum, although he could bring Umut Gunes into the starting lineup for the weekend's contest.

Furkan Bayir and Fatih Aksoy both came into the centre of defence last Sunday, and they are set to retain their places in the backline for the away encounter with Besiktas.

Besiktas possible starting lineup:
Destanoglu; Rosier, Vida, Montero, Yilmaz; Bozdogan, Souza; Ghezzal, Teixeira, Karaman; Batshuayi

Alanyaspor possible starting lineup:
Marafona; Juanfran, Bayir, Aksoy, Borja; Karaca, Akbaba, Novais, Gunes, Bingol; Candeias


SM words green background

We say: Besiktas 2-2 Alanyaspor

Besiktas have drawn 11 league games this season, and we think that they will experience another drawn contest on Saturday when they come up against an Alanyaspor side who are determined to hold onto their top-four spot.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



ID:482703:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9462:
Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 23.75% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Besiktas vs Alanyaspor

Besiktas
52.9%
Draw
17.6%
Alanyaspor
29.4%
17
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
10KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
11GaziantepGaziantep155372024-418
12SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
14AlanyasporAlanyaspor154561518-317
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