CONCACAF Nations League | League B

Oct 15, 2024 at 11.30pm UK

Bermuda National Stadium

Bermuda
3 - 2
Dominica

Bredas (37' og.), Hall (45'), Bean (68')
Findlay (24')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jules (51'), Laville (60' pen.)
Mitchel (23'), Marshall (30'), Bonney (60')

Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Bermuda and Dominica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bermuda

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Dominica 1-6 Bermuda
Saturday, October 12 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League B Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bermuda	0	0	0
2	Belize	0	0	0
3	Saint Vincent & the Grenadines	0	0	0
4	French Guiana	0	0	0

Dominica

All competitions

CONCACAF Nations League

Last Game: Dominica 1-6 Bermuda
Saturday, October 12 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Current League C Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Dominica	0	0	0
2	British Virgin Islands	0	0	0
3	Turks and Caicos	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bermuda win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Dominica had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bermuda win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Dominica win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bermuda would win this match.

Result
Bermuda	Draw	Dominica
40.61% ( -0.23)	23.04% ( 0)	36.35% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 65.05% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.83% (

0.03)

36.18% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.71% (

0.04)

58.29% (

-0.03)

Bermuda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.08)

18.37% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.51% (

-0.15)

49.49% (

0.15)

Dominica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.69% (

0.13)

20.32% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.31% (

0.2)

52.7% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Bermuda 40.61%

Dominica 36.35%

Draw 23.03%

Bermuda	Draw	Dominica
2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.74% Total : 40.61%	1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03%	1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.35%