MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 02:32:14| >> :120:49482:49482:
[monks data]
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 7
Nov 8, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Braga

Benfica
2 - 3
Braga

Seferovic (68', 86')
Goncalves (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Medeiros (38'), Moura (50', 63')
Medeiros (11'), Esgaio (26'), Sequeira (56')

Preview: Benfica vs. Braga - prediction, team news, form guides

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Braga, including predictions, team news and form guides.

Second meets third in the final Primeira Liga match before the international break when Benfica welcome Braga to the Estadio da Luz on Sunday evening.

Three points separate the two sides in the table, but both teams go into the contest looking to return to winning ways after recent setbacks.


Match preview

Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates with a teammate after scoring against Rangers on November 5, 2020© Reuters

With Jorge Jesus back at the helm, Benfica had made an ominous start to the new season after finishing as runners-up to Porto in both the league and cup last season.

Quickly putting the disappointing of failing to qualify for the Champions League group stages aside, the Eagles won their next seven games in a row across all competitions, scoring 22 goals in the process.

That included five wins from five to set the early pace at the top of the Primeira Liga, but their flying form came to a shuddering and wholly unexpected halt at the hands of an out-of-form Boavista side on Monday night as Benfica slipped to a 3-0 away defeat.

It looked as though that would be followed up by another unexpected loss in the Europa League on Thursday night when Nicolas Otamendi was sent off after only 19 minutes and Rangers raced into a 3-1 lead at the Estadio da Luz.

However, Jesus's side fought back to rescue a late 3-3 draw and preserve their unbeaten record in Group D - a stalemate which will have felt more like a win under the circumstances.

Carlos Carvalhal, now in charge of Sporting Braga, pictured in June 2020© Reuters

The challenge now is to prove that the loss to Boavista was an aberration of a result, and Braga will provide a stringent examination having chalked up four successive Primeira Liga wins heading into this one.

Carlos Carvalhal's side have responded well to surprisingly losing their opening two games of the season, and another triumph on Sunday would see them win five league matches in a row for the second time this calendar year.

Perennial top-four challengers, last season was the first time Braga had managed to break into the top three since 2011-12, and that will once again be the target this season.

However, for all of their good domestic form, Braga were handed a chastening lesson by Leicester City on Thursday night as the Foxes ran out 4-0 winners in their Europa League clash at the King Power Stadium.

Carvalhal will be demanding a response from his previously-perfect side this weekend, but an away trip to Benfica is about as difficult a challenge as you can get in Portuguese football at the moment.

Benfica Primeira Liga form: WWWWWL
Benfica form (all competitions): WWWWLD

Braga Primeira Liga form: LLWWWW
Braga form (all competitions): WWWWWL


Team News

Benfica head coach Jorge Jesus pictured on November 5, 2020© Reuters

Benfica

Out: Pedrinho (muscle), Andre Almeida (knee)
Doubtful: Jean-Clair Todibo (Achilles)

Braga

Out: David Carmo (suspended), Fransergio (suspended), Ricardo Horta (muscle), Rui Fonte (knee)


SM words green background

We say: Benfica 2-1 Braga

This should be a fascinating game between two sides who had both been in excellent form before recent setbacks. Benfica will be demanding a response from their defeat at Boavista last time out and, with home advantage also in their favour, that is enough for us to lean towards last season's runners-up.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data

ID:421391: cacheID:421391:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:7651:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Braga had a probability of 18.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Braga win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Rangers striker Alfredo Morelos celebrates scoring against Lech Poznan in the Europa League on October 29, 2020
Read Next:
Jorge Jesus concerned by threat of Alfredo Morelos
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
10am
Blanch
Nadal
10am
Cachin
Ofner
10am
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
10am
Gasquet
Sonego
10am
Hanfmann
Mensik
10am
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
10am
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
10am
Lajovic
Monteiro
10am
Machac
Ruusuvuori
10am
Michelsen
Fonseca
10am
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
10am
O'Connell
Arnaldi
10am
Purcell
Giron
10am
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
10am
Tabilo
Cobolli
10am
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
10am
Azarenka
Maria
10am
Eala
Cirstea
10am
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
10am
Gauff
Rus
10am
Keys
Camelia-Begu
10am
Podoroska
Navarro
10am
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
10am
Swiatek
Wang
10am
Baez
Van Assche
10am
Coric
Zverev
10am
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
10am
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
10am
Hurkacz
Draper
10am
Marozsan
Cerundolo
10am
Paul
Klein
10am
Rublev
Bagnis
10am
Altmaier
Fils
10am
Darderi
Fritz
10am
Griekspoor
Daniel
10am
Munar
Struff
10am
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
10am
Navone
Rune
10am
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
10am
Alexandrova
Krueger
10am
Andreeva
Noskova
10am
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
10am
Boulter
Montgomery
10am
Bronzetti
Rybakina
10am
Collins
Danilovic
3pm
Cristian
Krejcikova
10am
Dolehide
Kalinina
10am
Garcia
Wang
10am
Linette
Sabalenka
10am
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
10am
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
10am
Vekic
Sakkari
11.30am
Arango
Yastremska
11.30am
Osaka
Samsonova
11.30am
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
1pm
Haddad Maia
Errani
2.30pm
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
2.30pm
Mertens
Stephens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!