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[monks data]
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Boavista
Benfica
3 - 1
Boavista
Nunez (14', 61'), Weigl (34')
Verissimo (59')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Sauer (32')
Nathan (36'), Porozo (69'), Musa (74')

Preview: Benfica vs. Boavista - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Benfica will attempt to extend their perfect start in Primeira Liga to six matches when they play host to Boavista on Monday evening.

However, they face opponents in Boavista who currently occupy sixth spot after losing just one of their opening five fixtures.


Match preview

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus on September 14, 2021© Reuters

Having witnessed Sporting Lisbon cruise to the league title last season, Jorge Jesus was aware that Benfica required a fast start to the new campaign.

The champions are still lurking as challengers for a second year running, but maximum points for the Eagles suggests that they will be difficult to overcome this time around.

While Jesus's side are still to face any of last season's top five, there was a ruthlessness about the way that they dismantled Santa Clara by a 5-0 scoreline last week.

Remarkably, none of this squad have scored more than two goals in the league thus far, but that could soon change with Darwin Nunez now approaching full fitness.

On a more disappointing note, Benfica could only earn a goalless draw at Dynamo Kiev in the Champions League on Tuesday night.

Jesualdo Ferreira pictured in March 2020© Reuters

Boavista are another team who have plenty to prove after only avoid relegation by two points during the 2020-21 campaign.

However, under Joao Pedro Sousa, the Chequered Ones are well on their way to an improved year after collecting eight points from their opening five games.

Despite back-to-back 1-1 draws being recorded against Vizela and Portimonense respectively, Sousa will be delighted that just two goals have been conceded in their last four outings.

That record will be put to the test over the next four games with meetings against Pacos de Ferreira, Estoril Praia and Braga following their visit to Estadio da Luz.

Benfica Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Benfica form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Boavista Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Boavista form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D



Team News

Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates with a teammate after scoring against Rangers on November 5, 2020© Reuters

With a six-day break since their last fixture, Jesus may opt to make minimal changes to his Benfica XI.

Nunez should feature from the start, potentially taking the place of Everton, while Valentino Lazaro is an option at wing-back.

Pizzi could be brought into the team as a replacement for Rafa Silva, who sustained an injury during the closing stages in Kiev.

Boavista cannot call upon Ilija Vukotic with the midfielder unable to face his parent club.

Yusupha Om Njie is an option in the final third, the winger potentially coming in for Kenji Gorre.

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Vlachodimos; Otamendi, Vertonghen, Morato; Lazaro, Joao Mario, Weigl, Grimaldo; Pizzi, Seferovic, Nunez

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Bracali; Nathan, Porozo, Abascal; Malheiro, Makouta, Perez, Hamache; Njie, Musa, Sauer


SM words green background

We say: Benfica 3-1 Boavista

Given their respectable defensive record, we expect Boavista to put up some resistance at Estadio da Luz. However, Benfica have hit the ground running this season, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable win for the home side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 71.21%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (3.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Benfica vs Boavista

Benfica
90.8%
Draw
5.7%
Boavista
3.4%
87
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25212275255065
2Benfica26204260213964
3Porto26184450183258
4Braga26165555342153
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes26155641271450
6MoreirenseMoreirense2612682827142
7AroucaArouca26104124337634
8FamalicaoFamalicao2561092430-628
9Gil Vicente2677123539-428
10BoavistaBoavista2677123351-1828
11Casa Pia2676132339-1627
12SC FarenseFarense2676133438-427
13Estrela Amadora2668122639-1326
14Estoril PraiaEstoril2674154249-725
15Rio AveRio Ave2641392635-925
16PortimonensePortimonense2665152453-2923
17Vizela2649132652-2621
18ChavesChaves2647152556-3119

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