Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 10
May 24, 2025 at 7pm UK
Van Roystadion
KV Mechelen

Dender
2 - 2
Mechelen

Ferraro (22'), Rodes (43')
Goncalves (14'), Rodes (14'), M'Barki (85')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Antonio (2'), Welsh (31')
Raman (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Dender and Mechelen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dender

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-0 Dender
Saturday, May 17 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Mechelen

All competitions
Last Game: Mechelen 1-1 Charleroi
Sunday, May 18 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Dender had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Dender win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
DenderDrawMechelen
35.89% (0.152 0.15)25.44%38.67% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)47.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (0.010000000000002 0.01)69.92% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Dender Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.091999999999999 0.09)25.85% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.123 0.12)60.81% (-0.123 -0.12)
Mechelen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)24.31% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.106 -0.11)58.7% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Dender 35.89%
    Mechelen 38.67%
    Draw 25.44%
DenderDrawMechelen
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.59% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 35.89%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.5% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.05% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 38.67%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Mechelen
5-2
Dender
Storm (10'), Lauberbach (14', 56'), Schoofs (21', 42')
Nsimba (59'), Berte (90')
Mbamba (77')
Mar 16, 2025 5.30pm
Gameweek 30
Mechelen
2-1
Dender
Foulon (54'), Raman (65')
Storm (12')
Hens (73')
Goncalves (77')
Oct 26, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 12
Dender
2-5
Mechelen
Foulon (82' og.), Oratmangoen (90+6')
Pflucke (53'), Storm (60'), Belghali (90+1'), Hairemans (90+4'), Raman (90+7')