Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Westerlo win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.