Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 8
May 9, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Westerlo

Charleroi
4 - 3
Westerlo

Stulic (10', 57'), Heymans (71' pen.), Keita (84')
Nzita (66'), Heymans (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Sakamoto (29', 39'), Frigan (55')
van den Keybus (56'), Haspolat (63'), Frigan (69'), Sayyadmanesh (74'), Rommens (80')
Haspolat (90+7')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Westerlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-1 Charleroi
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Westerlo

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 4-2 Dender
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 56.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Westerlo had a probability of 21.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Westerlo win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
CharleroiDrawWesterlo
56.2% (0.055 0.05)22.7% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)21.09% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.96% (0.061 0.06)45.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.61% (0.056999999999995 0.06)67.38% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.16% (0.036000000000001 0.04)15.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.97% (0.073999999999998 0.07)45.02% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Westerlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.59%35.4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.17% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 56.2%
    Westerlo 21.09%
    Draw 22.69%
CharleroiDrawWesterlo
1-0 @ 10.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 56.2%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.69%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.57% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 21.09%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Westerlo

Charleroi
80.0%
Draw
10.0%
Westerlo
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Westerlo
2-2
Charleroi
Frigan (7'), Yow (90+4')
van den Keybus (62')
Stulic (20'), Rogelj (90')
Feb 22, 2025 5.15pm
Gameweek 27
Westerlo
1-3
Charleroi
Vuskovic (31')
van den Keybus (53')
Stulic (56', 62'), Heymans (90+3')
Nzita (58')
Nov 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Charleroi
1-0
Westerlo
Heymans (67')
Titraoui (3'), Bernier (89')
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Westerlo
0-1
Charleroi

Madsen (82'), Bayram (90+7')
Guiagon (65')
Badji (27'), Heymans (35'), Marcq (86'), Petris (89')
Nov 25, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 15
Charleroi
3-2
Westerlo
Heymans (59'), Dabbagh (66'), Sylla (90+6')
Rogelj (11'), Bernier (45+3'), Andreou (80')
Madsen (24'), Yow (90+1')
Bayram (28'), Daci (90+3')