Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.