Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Neman had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.54%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest Neman win was 0-1 (12.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.