Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neman win with a probability of 69.44%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 10.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Neman win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.07%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.