Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.71% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%) , while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.