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Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 18, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Villa Park
Everton logo
Aston Villa
3 - 0
Everton
Cash (66'), Digne (69' og.), Bailey (75')
Bailey (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Godfrey (72')

Preview: Aston Villa vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Everton will hope to maintain their fast start to life under Rafael Benitez when they make the journey to the West Midlands to take on Aston Villa on Saturday evening.

The Toffees marched to a 3-1 success against Burnley in their most recent encounter, while Dean Smith's side fell victim to a Romelu Lukaku-inspired Chelsea in a 3-0 defeat.


Match preview

Aston Villa manager Dean Smith before the match on August 24, 2021© Reuters

Prior to the visit of Villa, Romelu Lukaku had failed to score in 14 previous matches at Stamford Bridge, but the Chelsea attacker made light work of Dean Smith's side alongside his teammates to condemn Villa to a 3-0 defeat on the day.

Lukaku found the back of the net within 15 minutes before Mateo Kovacic took advantage of a loose backpass from Tyrone Mings to double his side's advantage, and with seconds remaining at Stamford Bridge, Lukaku netted his second and Chelsea's third during a romping success.

Smith's tactical switch to a three-man central defence did not bear fruit in the capital, and a tally of four points from a possible 12 sees Villa occupy 12th spot in the rankings before a truly taxing run begins for the West Midlands club.

After welcoming an in-form Everton to Villa Park, Smith's side will renew hostilities with Chelsea in the EFL Cup before facing Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur, Wolverhampton Wanderers, Arsenal and West Ham United in league action leading up to Halloween.

The Villans do welcome Everton to the West Midlands having gone unbeaten in their last four league games at Villa Park, but they can only boast two clean sheets from their last 16 Premier League games before the visit of Benitez's rampant attacking forces.

Andros Townsend scores for Everton against Burnley in the Premier League on September 13, 2021© Reuters

Producing yet another early contender for goal of the season, Everton new boy Andros Townsend scored the pick of the bunch in Monday's 3-1 victory over Burnley, which started off on a sour note for Everton as Ben Mee headed home the opener.

However, former Burnley centre-back Michael Keane showed his old employers what they are missing with a header of his own before Townsend's 30-yard screamer beat Nick Pope all ends up, and Demarai Gray capped off a six-minute flurry of Everton goals to hand Rafael Benitez another eye-catching victory.

The ex-Liverpool boss has endeared himself to the Everton faithful in the perfect way after previous hostility towards his appointment, and his side have now taken 10 points from their opening four games to keep pace with Manchester United, Chelsea and Liverpool in the top four.

The Toffees have also scored at least two goals in each of their four league games so far this season - boasting 10 in total, a tally only bettered by Man United and Manchester City - but less-than-positive injury news regarding Dominic Calvert-Lewin will not help them on that front.

Villa and Everton played out a goalless draw in this fixture back in May, and the hosts are unbeaten in four against the Toffees since their return to the Premier League in 2019, but Benitez's side certainly appear to be capable of ending that hoodoo here.

Aston Villa Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

Aston Villa form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L

Everton Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Everton form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin celebrates scoring their second goal on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Aston Villa will hope to welcome Emiliano Martinez and Emiliano Buendia back in time to face Everton, with the Argentinian duo keeping fit in Croatia before linking up with the team ahead of Saturday's game.

Martinez should certainly displace Jed Steer in between the sticks, but Bertrand Traore's return from injury means that Buendia could be granted more time to get back up to speed, while Trezeguet, Keinan Davis, Jaden Philogene-Bidace and Carney Chukwuemeka occupy spots in the treatment room.

Should Smith revert to a four-man defence, one of Danny Ings or Ollie Watkins is likely to drop out of the side, but the former Southampton man has netted more times against Everton in the Premier League than any other team and will hope to be given the nod.

Meanwhile, Everton boss Benitez has revealed that Calvert-Lewin is likely to remain out for another two to three weeks with a thigh injury, while Fabian Delph's shoulder problem is also keeping him sidelined.

However, James Rodriguez could come into contention for a start having trained normally with the rest of the squad, and it remains to be seen if Benitez will also revert to a back four after deploying three central defenders on Monday.

Ben Godfrey was sacrificed on the hour mark for Andre Gomes just before the floodgates opened against Burnley, though, so Benitez may be tempted to shake things up with the inclusion of the Portuguese midfielder from the off.

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Targett; McGinn, Luiz, Ramsey; Traore, Ings, Bailey

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Mina, Keane, Digne; Allan, Doucoure, Gomes; Townsend, Richarlison, Gray


SM words green background

We say: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton

Despite their mixed opening to the season, Villa still carry plenty of goal threat and should have no trouble breaching Everton's backline, but the visitors are simply flying under Benitez.

Both managers could be tempted into formation and personnel changes for Saturday's game, and while Villa have been somewhat of a bogey team for Everton in the past couple of years, we expect the Toffees to break that duck with a narrow win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Everton had a probability of 31.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Everton win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Everton

Aston Villa
23.1%
Draw
16.7%
Everton
60.1%
281
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Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins celebrates scoring against Fulham in the Premier League on April 4, 2021
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8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2811985044642
9Wolverhampton WanderersWolves28125114244-241
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11Chelsea27116104745239
12Fulham29115134344-138
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14Crystal Palace2878133348-1529
15Brentford2975174154-1326
16Everton2887132939-1025
17Luton TownLuton2957174260-1822
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2967163551-1621
19Burnley2945202963-3417
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2835202474-5014

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