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Women's Super League | Gameweek 18
May 4, 2022 at 7.15pm UK
 

Arsenal Women
3 - 0
Spurs Ladies

Mead (4'), Foord (71', 82')
McCabe (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Simon (24'), Summanen (57'), Green (73'), Clemaron (74')

Preview: Arsenal Women vs. Tottenham Hotspur Ladies - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Arsenal Women and Tottenham Hotspur Ladies, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Arsenal Women will play host to their local rival Tottenham Hotspur Ladies on Wednesday, and the stakes could not be higher for the hosts.

The Gunners ideally need at least a point to take the title race to the final game of the season, while a Spurs win would secure Chelsea their third consecutive Women's Super League title.


Match preview

Arsenal Women's Beth Mead celebrates scoring their first goal with Kim Little on April 3, 2022© Reuters

Arsenal currently trail league leaders Chelsea by four points, but Wednesday's contest represents the game in hand that the Gunners possess over the defending champions.

A victory in the North London derby would reduce the gap to just a single point, while a draw would mean that the Gunners could only win the league title on goal difference.

Jonas Eidevall's side are in fine form after avoiding defeat in their last 10 league matches, and they have the chance to clinch a seventh consecutive WSL victory on Wednesday.

On Sunday, the Gunners hammered Aston Villa 7-0, with the rout beginning with a Vivianne Miedema brace before Rachel Corsie put the ball into her own net, and a comprehensive win was wrapped up thanks to strikes from Beth Mead, Lotte Wubben-Moy, Stina Blackstenius and Nikita Parris.

The Gunners will be looking to maintain their unbeaten home league record on Wednesday as they bid to claim North London bragging rights.

Tottenham Hotspur Women's Ashleigh Neville celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates© Reuters

Spurs, meanwhile, currently sit in fifth place after falling away from the European places, and they will be aiming to end a six-game unbeaten run on Wednesday.

They were denied victory at the weekend against Everton after Asmita Ale and Josie Green scored either side of a Danielle Turner effort, but the Toffees equalised in stoppage time through Megan Finnigan, who ensured that the spoils were shared.

Despite their form dipping as the campaign draws to a close, Tottenham are guaranteed to achieve their best-ever finish in the WSL.

Although there may not be too much to play for with regards to league position, Wednesday's visitors will be motivated to get one over their local rivals.

Spurs were just minutes away from beating Arsenal in the reverse fixture before Miedema equalised in stoppage time, but they can take the confidence gained from that performance into Wednesday's contest.

Arsenal Women Women's Super League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Arsenal Women form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Women's Super League form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Arsenal Women manager Jonas Eidevall on March 30, 2022© Reuters

Jordan Nobbs could miss out for the hosts after being forced off against Aston Villa, while Rafaelle is also a doubt for Wednesday's contest.

Although she came off the bench to score at the weekend, Blackstenius may have to settle for a place among the substitutes.

With a positive result needed, Eidevall may be tempted to keep changes to a minimum, although Manuela Zinsberger is expected to return between the posts.

As for the visitors, they are expected to be without the services of Ria Percival and Kit Graham due to injury issues.

Despite scoring as a second-half substitute against Everton, Green is expected to be on the bench on Wednesday.

Skinner could make at least one change for the North London derby, with Jessica Naz in contention to start against Arsenal.

Arsenal Women possible starting lineup:
Zinsberger; Maritz, Williamson, Wubben-Moy, Catley; Little, Walti, McCabe; Mead, Foord, Miedema

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies possible starting lineup:
Spencer; Bartrip, Zadorsky, Harrop; Neville, Summanen, Ayane, Clemaron, Ale; Williams, Naz


SM words green background

We say: Arsenal Women 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur Ladies

Although the reverse fixture ended in a draw, we think that Arsenal will continue their fine run of form to beat their local rivals, who have tailed off as the season nears its conclusion.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 72.06%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Ladies had a probability of 10.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.74%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal Women would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Arsenal Women vs Spurs Ladies

Arsenal Women
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
5.9%
17
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Tobin Heath in action for Arsenal Women in September 2021
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