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Argentina national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2021 at 12.30am UK
 
Bolivia national football team

Argentina
3 - 0
Bolivia

Messi (14', 64', 88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Haquin (24'), Villarroel (31'), Vaca (79')

Preview: Argentina vs. Bolivia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Bolivia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After the dramatic suspension of their clash with Brazil last time out, Argentina will look to get back on track on Thursday, when they play host to Bolivia in World Cup Qualifying.

La Albiceleste are without a defeat in the group and occupy second spot, while their visitors remain in ninth after a loss to Uruguay on Sunday.


Match preview

Argentina teammates celebrate scoring their third goal on June 29, 2021© Reuters

Argentina began the World Cup Qualification campaign in 2020 with a 1-0 victory over Ecuador and a 2-1 away win against Bolivia, as Lautaro Martinez and Joaquin Correa got on the scoresheet to overturn a one-goal deficit when they took on Thursday's opponents in La Paz.

Lionel Scaloni's men headed into this summer's Copa America with 12 points from their opening six qualifying games, and they continued their momentum in the continental tournament, cruising through to the quarter-finals thanks to wins over Uruguay, Paraguay and Bolivia, as they dished out a 4-1 thrashing to the side they meet again on Thursday.

A comfortable 3-0 quarter-final win over Ecuador saw them break into the final four, and heroics from goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez helped La Albiceleste prevail in a penalty shootout against Colombia after a 1-1 draw in their semi-final tie.

As a result, they met rivals Brazil in the final, and stood strong to defend a one-goal lead after Angel Di Maria's early opener to see out a 1-0 win and earn their 15th continental title.

Scaloni's men continued where they left off upon their return to qualifying in this round of fixtures, defeating Venezuela 3-1 away from home as Lautaro Martinez, Joaquin Correa and Angel Correa found the net before Yeferson Soteldo scored an injury-time consolation goal for the hosts.

They then travelled to take on group-leaders Brazil, but the game was brought to an abrupt end inside the first 10 minutes as health officials stormed the pitch in response to an issue regarding quarantining for several Argentinian players, with the match suspended in the aftermath.

Upon their return to home turf, La Albiceleste will look to record another victory to maintain their strong position in the group and apply further pressure on Brazil at the summit, as they welcome a Bolivian side who are struggling for form.

Bolivia manager Cesar Farias pictured on October 13, 2020© Reuters

After a 5-0 thrashing at the hands of Brazil in the opening game and the subsequent 2-1 defeat to Argentina, Bolivia have largely been stuck at the bottom end of the qualifying group throughout the campaign.

At the beginning of the Copa America, La Verde sat on five points in qualifying thanks to impressive draws with Paraguay and Chile and a 3-1 win over Venezuela.

They were unable to carry that upturn in form into the tournament though, as they crashed out in the group stage without earning a point from their four games.

In their first game since the departure, La Verde earned an impressive point as Fernando Saucedo hit a late equaliser to see them draw 1-1 at home to Colombia.

That was followed by a trip to Uruguay last time out, with a Giorgian de Arrascaeta brace and goals from Federico Valverde and Agustin Alvarez condemning them to a 4-2 defeat, despite Marcelo Moreno netting two goals for Farias's men.

With only the top four sides earning automatic passage to the World Cup and the fifth-placed nation progressing to a playoff, Bolivia will know that they need to quickly bounce back in order to keep their qualification hopes alive, but they face a particularly tough task with a trip to the Copa America champions.

Argentina World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Argentina form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Bolivia World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • L

Bolivia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L



Team News

Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their first goal on June 14, 2021© Reuters

After the issues around quarantining, Argentina have released Aston Villa duo Emiliano Martinez and Emiliano Buendia from the squad to return to England, although Tottenham Hotspur pair Giovani Lo Celso and Cristian Romero appear to have stayed in the camp and should be available for Thursday's game.

Lo Celso reformed a midfield trio with Paris Saint-Germain's Leandro Paredes and Atletico Madrid's Rodrigo De Paul after they all shone at the Copa America, and Scaloni should leave the centre untouched, while Romero came in to partner experienced centre-back Nicolas Otamendi last time out.

Talismanic captain Lionel Messi will again feature prominently in the attacking line, with Angel Di Maria and Lautaro Martinez expected to complete the front three, although the likes of Angel Correa and Juventus star Paulo Dybala will also be pushing to break into the side.

The Bolivian line will be led by experienced forward Marcelo Moreno, who netted a brace last time out to take his tally to 27 goals from 86 appearances for his nation.

He will be supported by Juan Carlos Arce, who also offers vital quality going forward, having made 80 appearances on the international stage.

They will be boosted by the return of Carmelo Algaranaz into the squad, after he served a suspension last time out for a red card picked up in the draw with Colombia, although he was only used as a substitute in that game and may not break straight into the starting XI.

Argentina possible starting lineup:
Rulli; Montiel, Romero, Otamendi, Acuna; De Paul, Paredes, Lo Celso; Di Maria, Martinez, Messi

Bolivia possible starting lineup:
Lampe; Bejarano, Haquin, Jusino, Fernandez; Saavedra, Villarroel; Chura, Arce, Ramallo; Moreno


SM words green background

We say: Argentina 3-0 Bolivia

After the events in Brazil, Scaloni will look to ensure his players focus on the upcoming task and finish the round of fixtures with a dominant win.

La Albiceleste have shown in recent meetings that they have more than enough to get past Bolivia, and we see Thursday's game being no different with the hosts picking up a comfortable victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 70.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 7.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (18.45%) and 3-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.24%), while for a Bolivia win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Argentina vs Bolivia

Argentina
89.5%
Draw
6.2%
Bolivia
4.3%
162
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Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates scoring their first goal on June 14, 2021
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Copa America Team of the Tournament - Messi, Neymar, Martinez
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