Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 42.92%. A draw had a probability of 32.4% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (6.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.89%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigre in this match.