Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Aug 23, 2026 11.15pm
Estadio Mâs Monumental

River Plate vs Velez Sarsfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 16, 2026 10.00pm
River Plate 2 - 0 Argentinos Jrs
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Sebastián Driussi

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last game
Aug 17, 2026 11.15pm
Velez Sarsfield 1 - 1 Defensa
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Matias Pellegrini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw has a probability of 26.38% and a win for Velez Sarsfield has a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.47%) , while for a Velez Sarsfield win it is 0-1 (8.73%).

Result

River Plate 51.29% (+0.39)
Draw 26.38% (-0.09)
Velez Sarsfield 22.36% (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.27% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 65.59% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 34.41% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 38.63% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 61.37% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 17.86% (+0.10)
Under 3.5 82.14% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 9.27% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 90.73% (-0.07)

First Half Winner

River Plate 35.18% (+0.01)
Draw 48.26% (+0.16)
Velez Sarsfield 16.56% (-0.18)

Team To Score First

River Plate 59.28% (+0.18)
No Goal 10.43% (-0.02)
Velez Sarsfield 30.29% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 50.5% (-0.35)
Equal 8 11.81% (+0.03)
Under 8 37.69% (+0.33)
Over 9 39.13% (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.37% (-0.02)
Under 9 49.5% (+0.35)
Over 10.5 29.06% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 70.94% (+0.29)

River Plate Goals

Over 1.5 40.56% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 59.44% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 15.88% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 84.12% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 5.16% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 94.84% (-0.10)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 53.49% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 46.51% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 19.04% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 80.96% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 4.79% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 95.21% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 0.98% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.02% (+0.01)

Score analysis

River Plate 51.29%
Draw 26.4%
Velez Sarsfield 22.37%
River Plate
1-0 @ 15.31% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.85% (+0.10)
2-1 @ 9.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.83% (+0.06)
3-2 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.15% (+0.10)
Total : 51.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.4%
Velez Sarsfield
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 3.61% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.13% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.97% (-0.02)
Total : 22.37%

Head to Head

Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 6
Feb 22, 2026 10.15pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio José Amalfitani
  • Manuel Lanzini 6' goal
  • Á. Verón 34' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 64' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 65' yellowcard
  • Imanol Machuca 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joaquín Freitas 27'
  • yellowcard Santiago Beltrán 46'
  • yellowcard Kendry Páez 46'
  • yellowcard Giuliano Galoppo 66'
  • yellowcard Ian Subiabre 70'
Argentine Primera Division Copa Diego Maradona
Nov 16, 2025 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 16
May 5, 2025 12.30am
4
1
HT : 6 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Sebastian Driussi 14' goal
  • Sebastian Driussi 14' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 28' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 28' goal
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 30' yellowcard
  • Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 30' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Fernandez 33' goal
  • Ignacio Fernandez 33' goal
  • Giuliano Galoppo 59' yellowcard
  • Giuliano Galoppo 59' yellowcard
  • Kevin Castano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kevin Castano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 90'+10' goal
  • Miguel Borja 90'+10' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Ariel Silvero 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Ariel Silvero 32'
  • goal Maher Mauricio Carrizo 37'
  • goal Maher Mauricio Carrizo 37'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 43'
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 43'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 78'
  • yellowcard Claudio Baeza 78'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
  • redcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
  • redcard Valentin Gomez 90'+5'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 18
Oct 19, 2024 1.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Miguel Borja 49' goal
  • Miguel Borja 49' goal
  • German Pezzella 66' yellowcard
  • German Pezzella 66' yellowcard
  • goal Braian Romero 26'
  • goal Braian Romero 26'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 45'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 45'
  • yellowcard Randall Jonas Rodriguez Lucas 86'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Feb 4, 2024 10.15pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Facundo Colidio 6' goal
  • Miguel Borja 20' goal
  • Miguel Borja 31' goal
  • Facundo Colidio 45' goal
  • Rodrigo Aliendro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Miguel Borja 55' goal
  • yellowcard Valentin Gomez 27'
  • yellowcard Jose Florentin 53'
  • yellowcard Agustin Bouzat 65'
Argentine Primera Division Gameweek 3
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Amalfitani
  • Claudio Aquino 22' goal
  • Santiago Castro 60' goal
  • Elias Gomez 82' yellowcard
  • Braian Romero 86' yellowcard
  • Jose Florentin 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Yeison Gordillo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Enzo Perez 49'