Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Goteborg win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Goteborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Goteborg would win this match.