Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 4
Nov 17, 2026 1.00pm
Bingu National Stadium

Malawi vs Egypt - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malawi

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 5.00pm
Malawi 2 - 1 South Sudan

Egypt

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Egypt 0 - 0 Angola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Egypt win with a probability of 53.92%. A draw has a probability of 27.5% and a win for Malawi has a probability of 18.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.43%) , while for a Malawi win it is 1-0 (8.44%).

Result

Malawi 18.54% ▼ (-0.49)
Draw 27.5% ▼ (-0.34)
Egypt 53.92% ▲ (+0.79)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.66% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 63.51% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 36.49% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 37.13% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 62.87% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 17.58% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 3.5 82.42% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 9.77% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 4.5 90.23% ▼ (-0.19)

First Half Winner

Malawi 15.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 47.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Egypt 37.21% ▼ (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Malawi 29.35% ▲ (+0.16)
No Goal 12% ▼ (-0.17)
Egypt 58.65% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 30.35% ▼ (-0.21)
Equal 8 10.73% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 58.92% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 9 21.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 8.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 9 69.65% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 10.5 15% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 85% ▲ (+0.11)

Malawi Goals

Over 1.5 15.1% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 1.5 84.9% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 2.5 3.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 96.9% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.67%
Under 3.5 99.33%

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5 75.22% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 0.5 24.78% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 1.5 41.52% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 58.48% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 18.27% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 2.5 81.73% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 6.4% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 93.6% ▼ (-0.20)

Score analysis

Malawi 18.54%
Draw 27.51%
Egypt 53.93%
Malawi
1-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 18.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.43% ▼ (-0.13)
0-0 @ 12% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.51%
Egypt
0-1 @ 16.03% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.25)
1-2 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.59% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.39% ▲ (+0.19)
Total : 53.93%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 13, 2026 7.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Cairo International Stadium
  • Nasser Maher 6' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 10' goal
  • Hossam Abdelmaguid 24' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Hany 38' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 84' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Charles Petro 54'
  • yellowcard Blessings Mpokera 74'
  • yellowcard George Chikooka 90'+4'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 28, 2023 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • goal Tarek Hamed 4'
  • goal Omar Marmoush 16'
  • goal Mohamed Salah 20'
  • goal Ahmed Sayed 49'
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Mar 24, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mohamed Salah 20' goal
  • Omar Marmoush 45'+1' goal