Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mbombela Stadium
  • Sifiso Matse 66' yellowcard
  • goal Domingues 11'
  • goal Stanley Ratifo 41'
  • goal Geny Catamo 59'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Neves Santos 86'

Eswatini vs Mozambique - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 2.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Eswatini

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 11, 2024 2.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Eswatini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result

Eswatini 33.44% (+0.17)
Draw 29.63% (+0.07)
Mozambique 36.93% (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.03% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 36% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 63.99% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 16.82% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 83.18% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 6.57% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 93.42% (+0.08)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5 64.43% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35.57% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 27.66% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 72.33% (-0.01)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5 66.78% (-0.26)
Under 0.5 33.21% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 30.18% (-0.28)
Under 1.5 69.82% (+0.28)

Score analysis

Eswatini 33.44%
Draw 29.63%
Mozambique 36.93%
Eswatini
1-0 @ 12.21% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.31% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.18% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 33.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.46% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 11.81% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 29.63%
Mozambique
0-1 @ 13.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.93%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Oct 11, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Nacional do Zimpeto
  • Pedro Miguel Neves Santos 26' yellowcard
  • Stanley Ratifo 74' goal
  • yellowcard Lindo Mkhonta 21'
  • yellowcard Mcolisi Simiso Manana 52'
  • goal Thubelihle Mavuso 80'
COSAFA Cup
Jun 29, 2024 11.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wolfson Stadium
  • Fernando Domingos 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leon Manyisa 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Bongwa Owa Matsebula 66'
  • yellowcard Kwakhe Thwala 87'
International Friendlies
May 24, 2022 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
COSAFA Cup
Jul 18, 2021 11.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium
  • Martinho 39' goal
  • Candinho 70' yellowcard
  • Danilo Muze 80' yellowcard
  • Shaquille 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sikhumbuzo Magagula 42'
  • goal Khethokuhle Mkhontfo 89'