Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Eswatini had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Eswatini win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.