Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Sep 18, 2026 5.00pm
Mustapekka Areena

Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 5.00pm
Oulu 1 - 2 Gnistan
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 1.00pm
KuPS 0 - 0 HJK Helsinki
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Mads Borchers

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.55%. A win for Gnistan has a probability of 28.61% and a draw has a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Gnistan win is 2-1 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.93%).

Result

Gnistan 28.61%
Draw 23.84%
HJK Helsinki 47.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.92%
Under 1.5 19.08%
Over 2.5 59.25%
Under 2.5 40.75%
Over 3.5 37.07%
Under 3.5 62.93%
Over 4.5 22.13%
Under 4.5 77.87%

First Half Winner

Gnistan 24.17%
Draw 36.6%
HJK Helsinki 39.23%

Team To Score First

Gnistan 38.2%
No Goal 4.68%
HJK Helsinki 57.12%

Corners

Over 8 65.12%
Equal 8 10.33%
Under 8 24.55%
Over 9 53.97%
Equal 9 11.15%
Under 9 34.88%
Over 10.5 42.91%
Under 10.5 57.09%

Gnistan Goals

Over 1.5 34.55%
Under 1.5 65.45%
Over 2.5 13.93%
Under 2.5 86.07%
Over 3.5 4.4%
Under 3.5 95.6%

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5 79.67%
Under 0.5 20.33%
Over 1.5 50.15%
Under 1.5 49.85%
Over 2.5 24.67%
Under 2.5 75.33%
Over 3.5 9.76%
Under 3.5 90.24%

Score analysis

Gnistan 28.6%
Draw 23.83%
HJK Helsinki 47.56%
Gnistan
2-1 @ 6.94%
1-0 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 3.77%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-2 @ 2.8%
3-0 @ 1.77%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 28.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.22%
0-0 @ 4.68%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.83%
HJK Helsinki
1-2 @ 9.48%
0-1 @ 8.43%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 5.49%
0-3 @ 3.99%
2-3 @ 3.69%
Other @ 9.5%
Total : 47.56%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 21
Aug 23, 2026 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Bolt Arena
  • Santeri Haarala 23' goal
  • Ville Tikkanen 45'+3' goal
  • Alexander Ring  55' yellowcard
  • Kaius Simojoki 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bogdan Milovanov 67'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 68'
  • yellowcard E. Arko-Mensah 78'
  • goal Adeleke Akinyemi 83'
  • goal Danny Pérez 89'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Apr 18, 2026 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Otto Hannula 59' yellowcard
  • Max Herman Bjurstrom 60' yellowcard
  • S. Ylätupa 60' yellowcard
  • A. Jouhi 60' yellowcard
  • 72' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • J. Latonen 75' yellowcard
  • Danny Pérez 75' yellowcard
  • V. Hänninen 87' yellowcard
  • goal Teemu Pukki 44'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 52'
  • yellowcard Toivo Mero 61'
  • yellowcard Mads Borchers 61'
  • yellowcard Teemu Pukki 61'
  • yellowcard 61'
  • yellowcard Jere Kallinen 72'
  • goal M. Bogićević 79'
  • yellowcard 83'
  • yellowcard L. Möller 83'
  • yellowcard Kaius Simojoki 84'
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Nov 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Oct 3, 2025 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2025 5.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 3
Apr 22, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Daniel O'Shaughnessy 58' yellowcard
  • Alexander Ring 86' yellowcard
  • goal Joakim Latonen 59'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 71'