Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.42% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 19.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.45%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%) , while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.