Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 2-1 (7.32%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.