Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.6%) and 2-0 (5.31%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.