Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 49.67%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.