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England national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Wembley Stadium
San Marino national football team

England
5 - 0
San Marino

Ward-Prowse (14'), Calvert-Lewin (21', 53'), Sterling (31'), Watkins (83')
Mings (90+3')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Match Report

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored twice with James Ward-Prowse and Raheem Sterling also on the scoresheet in the World Cup qualifier at Wembley.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying clash between England and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for their World Cup qualifier with San Marino on Thursday evening.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 99.56%. A draw had a probability of 0.4% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 0.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 6-0 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (14.61%) and 7-0 (13.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (0.18%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (0.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
EnglandDrawSan Marino
99.56%0.4%0.05%
Both teams to score 14.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
94.95%5.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
86.98%13.02%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
99.79%0.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
98.48%1.52%
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
14.15%85.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
1.05%98.95%
Score Analysis
    England 99.52%
    San Marino 0.05%
    Draw 0.4%
EnglandDrawSan Marino
6-0 @ 15.3%
5-0 @ 14.61%
7-0 @ 13.72%
4-0 @ 11.63%
8-0 @ 10.77%
9-0 @ 7.52%
3-0 @ 7.41%
2-0 @ 3.54%
6-1 @ 2.34%
5-1 @ 2.23%
7-1 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.78%
8-1 @ 1.65%
9-1 @ 1.15%
3-1 @ 1.13%
1-0 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 99.52%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 0.4%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 0.05%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2015 5pm
Oct 9, 2014 7.45pm
Nov 19, 2013 6pm
Qualifiers
England
9-0
San Marino
Keane (13'), Sterling (15', 59'), Ings (18', 48'), Ward-Prowse (24'), Ince (42'), Jenkinson (61'), Hughes (78')
Oct 10, 2013 7.30pm
Mar 22, 2013 8pm
rhs 2.0
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