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Women's Super League | Gameweek 12
May 3, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
2 - 1
Liverpool Women

Charles (41'), Kerr (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Koivisto (2')
Koivisto (34'), Kirby (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Liverpool Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Chelsea Women
Thursday, April 27 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Leicester Women 4-0 Liverpool Women
Saturday, April 29 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Chelsea Women 3-1 Liverpool Women

After being thrashed by Man United, Liverpool will be keen to offer some sort of improvement against Chelsea, and although we think that the scoreline will be much closer than last weekend, we still expect the Blues to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 69.86%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Liverpool Women had a probability of 12.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Liverpool Women win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
69.86% (-0.124 -0.12) 17.46% (0.324 0.32) 12.67% (-0.196 -0.2)
Both teams to score 54% (-1.917 -1.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.51% (-2.136 -2.14)36.49% (2.14 2.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.37% (-2.369 -2.37)58.63% (2.374 2.37)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.62% (-0.57899999999999 -0.58)9.37% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.43% (-1.394 -1.39)31.56% (1.397 1.4)
Liverpool Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (-1.722 -1.72)40.42% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.97% (-1.598 -1.6)77.03% (1.602 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 69.86%
    Liverpool Women 12.67%
    Draw 17.46%
Chelsea WomenDrawLiverpool Women
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.56 0.56)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.97% (0.698 0.7)
3-0 @ 8.38% (0.228 0.23)
3-1 @ 7.59% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-0 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.212 -0.21)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-0 @ 2.35% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-1 @ 2.13% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.199 -0.2)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.123 -0.12)
6-0 @ 0.93% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 69.86%
1-1 @ 8.13% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.79% (0.387 0.39)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.46%
1-2 @ 3.68% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.43% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 1.56% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 12.67%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Liverpool Women

Chelsea Women
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Liverpool Women
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
gameweek 2
Liverpool Women
2-1
Chelsea Women
Stengel (67' pen., 87' pen.)
Holland (18')
Kirby (3' pen.)
May 15, 2020 11pm
Dec 15, 2019 2pm
Liverpool Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Charles (5')
Linnett (59'), Jane (64'), Bradley (78')
England (15')
Cuthbert (84'), Eriksson (91')
Mar 13, 2019 7pm
Liverpool Women
0-4
Chelsea Women

Little (39')
Kirby (17', 22', 52'), Engman (94')
Oct 28, 2018 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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