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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 7
Mar 23, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 2
Cardiff MU

Clarke (84')
Donohue (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Craven (5'), Jones (13')
Soady (45+4')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-1 Connah's Quay
Friday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Cardiff MU

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 0-1 Bala Town
Saturday, March 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caernarfon Town win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caernarfon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
43.68% (0.107 0.11) 24.74% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.58% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 57.34% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.37% (0.157 0.16)45.63% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.04% (0.147 0.15)67.96% (-0.145 -0.14)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.11199999999999 0.11)20.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.175 0.18)53.71% (-0.173 -0.17)
Cardiff MU Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.036000000000001 0.04)27.45% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (0.044999999999995 0.04)62.94% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 43.68%
    Cardiff MU 31.58%
    Draw 24.74%
Caernarfon TownDrawCardiff MU
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.66% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 43.68%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.74%
1-2 @ 7.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.58%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Price (24'), Evans (57')
Lewis (17'), Clubb (90+2'), McCarthy (90+6')
Jones (70')
Bradley (18'), Dafydd (84')
Davies (10'), John Williams (74')
Jan 13, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 22
Cardiff MU
2-2
Caernarfon
Lewis (70'), Evans (73')
Davies (9'), Gosset (87')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Bradley (4', 37', 58'), Davies (49'), Clarke (69')
Donohue (52' og.)
Craven (32'), H (76')
Craven (81')
Oct 29, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff MU
0-3
Caernarfon
Donohue (62' pen.), O'Rourke (72', 89')
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
5-1
Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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