Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon5 - 1Cardiff MU
Wynne (3', 25'), Thomas (42', 88'), Lang (73' og.)
Edwards (80')
Edwards (80')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Evans (30')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Chubb (73'), Price (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Cardiff MU.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 2-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Haverfordwest County | 2 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Pen-y-Bont | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Last Game: Aberystwyth 0-4 Cardiff MU
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, August 20 at 5.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 7 |
2 | Cardiff MU | 2 | 6 | 6 |
3 | Flint Town United | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 46.38%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
27.42% ( -0.24) | 26.2% ( -0.19) | 46.38% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.23% ( 0.6) | 53.77% ( -0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.75% ( 0.51) | 75.25% ( -0.51) |
Caernarfon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.38% ( 0.13) | 34.62% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.66% ( 0.14) | 71.34% ( -0.14) |
Cardiff MU Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.84% ( 0.46) | 23.15% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.97% ( 0.67) | 57.03% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Caernarfon Town 27.42%
Cardiff MU 46.37%
Draw 26.2%
Caernarfon Town | Draw | Cardiff MU |
1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.37% |
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 5.15pm
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Cardiff MU
0-0
Caernarfon
Price (84')
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Sep 18, 2021 2.30pm
Caernarfon
2-0
Cardiff MU
Gosset (28'), Hayes (54')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')
Bailey (23'), Thomas (64'), Cartwright (71'), Hayes (90+2'), Hayes (90+3')
Evans (45')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 11:13:58
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