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Venezia
Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo
Inter logo

Venezia
0 - 2
Inter Milan


Aramu (54'), Zanetti (81'), Haps (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calhanoglu (34'), Martinez (90+6' pen.)

Preview: Venezia vs. Inter Milan - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A brilliant week at San Siro sets Inter Milan up for a visit to Venezia on Saturday evening, as the reigning champions seek to close the gap further to the teams at the top.

Consecutive wins against leaders Napoli and Champions League rivals Shakhtar Donetsk have left the Nerazzurri in good shape before a hectic December schedule, while their hosts have won their last two games to rise up the Serie A standings.


Match preview

Inter Milan forward Edin Dzeko pictured on November 24, 2021© Reuters

With their place confirmed in the last 16 of the Champions League for the first time since the 2011-12 season - a year after they last lifted Europe's top prize - Inter can prepare for the return to league action with their destiny decided ahead of the final matchday.

After Real Madrid beat Sheriff in midweek, the Nerazzurri's 2-0 home victory over Shakhtar Donetsk in the earlier kickoff proved enough to cap an excellent few days work for Simone Inzaghi's men in Milan.

While Edin Dzeko was at the double on Wednesday, his strike partner Lautaro Martinez scored the third in last weekend's absorbing contest with Napoli, before which Inter trailed their southern counterparts by seven points.

Following an eventful 90 minutes, the champions put the first dent in the previously unbeaten Neapolitans' Scudetto hopes by recording a 3-2 win which keeps them third in the table.

The key to their success has been a rampant attack, who have barely missed the departed Romelu Lukaku during the opening months of the campaign. Indeed, only Bayern Munich and Liverpool have netted more goals than Inter's 32 in the top five European leagues throughout 2021-22 so far.

They have also scored in each of their last 16 league matches on the road - at a rate of nearly two goals per game - with their previous best streaks in that regard being 17 during 2002, and a run of 18 some 70 years ago.

Thanks to an already significant aerial presence being bolstered by Dzeko's arrival, Inter have registered the most headed goals throughout the continent's major championships too, so their modest opponents during the next week - they host Spezia after the trip to Venice - will need to be at their best to avoid being blitzed.

AC Milan's Brahim Diaz in action with Venezia's Dor Peretz on September 22, 2021© Reuters

Definite signs of a Venezia revival have continued to be seen in recent weeks, as after their brilliant comeback to beat Roma at Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo before the international break, the Lagunari were winners again upon their return to Serie A action.

Following a previous run of just one point from three games, Paolo Zanetti's side now have six from their last two, as they edged out Bologna last weekend thanks to another vital David Okereke goal.

The Nigerian striker, who now has four goals from his first 12 appearances since signing during the summer, scored what turned out to be the winner at Dall'Ara just after the hour mark; following up on his decisive strike in the Roma win.

Though the Arancioneroverdi may face a season-long battle to avoid returning to Serie B, from where they emerged via the playoffs last spring, they now have the opportunity - albeit as underdogs against the reigning champions - to win three consecutive top-flight matches for the first time since 1962.

To achieve the dream of turning over Inter and extending their three-game unbeaten run, Zanetti will need even more input from his forwards, given Venezia still average under a goal per game. It certainly will not get any easier in the coming weeks either, as they meet Atalanta, in-form rivals Verona, and Juventus before the return of the Coppa Italia in mid-December.

Venezia Serie A form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Inter Milan Serie A form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W

Inter Milan form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Inter Milan centre-back Stefan de Vrij pictured in October 2021© Reuters

Though both Dutch defender Stefan de Vrij and forward Alexis Sanchez remain on the sidelines due to hamstring injuries this weekend, Inter otherwise have few concerns ahead of the trip to Veneto.

Long-serving Andrea Ranocchia is expected to retain his place in central defence, as De Vrij continues his recovery, so he should join Milan Skriniar and Alessandro Bastoni in the visitors' back three.

Amid a relentless schedule, Simone Inzaghi may opt to rotate a little in midfield and up front, so Denzel Dumfries, Arturo Vidal and Joaquin Correa will be among the squad players hoping for a promotion to the first XI.

Venezia, meanwhile, recently welcomed Dennis Johnsen back into the fold after injury, and he could start up front, while reserve goalkeeper Luca Lezzerini - who this week extended his contract at the Penzo - is aiming for a return to the bench following his layoff.

Therefore, only Luca Fiordilino and Michael Svoboda are sidelined for the home side, who are likely to include chief goal threats David Okereke and Mattia Aramu in attack.

Venezia possible starting lineup:
Romero; Mazzocchi, Caldara, Ceccaroni, Haps; Vacca, Busio, Ampadu; Aramu; Okereke, Johnsen

Inter Milan possible starting lineup:
Handanovic; Skriniar, Ranocchia, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Brozovic, Dimarco; Calhanoglu; Dzeko, Martinez


SM words green background

We say: Venezia 0-2 Inter Milan

It has been a productive few days for Inter, and though legs might be tiring in the midst of an intense fixture schedule, their deep squad contains enough quality to make the difference against improving Venezia.

The champions may need to make full use of the five substitutions rule to seal the deal, but are set to leave the lagoon with maximum points, as their pursuit of the leaders continues apace.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Away Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.25%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.57%), while for a Venezia win it was 1-0 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Inter Milan in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Venezia vs Inter Milan

Venezia
13.0%
Draw
9.0%
Inter Milan
78.0%
100
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Inter Milan's Lautaro Martinez celebrates scoring against AC Milan in Serie A on February 21, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Parma352110463323173
2Como35208755381768
3VeneziaVenezia35207864402467
4Cremonese35179944301460
5CatanzaroCatanzaro351691055441157
6Palermo351410115950952
7Brescia351114103835347
8Sampdoria35139134849-146
9Pisa351112124748-145
10Cittadella351112123841-345
11SudtirolSudtirol351110144042-243
12Modena35916103844-643
13Reggiana35916103643-743
14Cosenza CalcioCosenza351012134339442
15AscoliAscoli35813143438-437
16Ternana35910163846-837
17SpeziaSpezia35716123146-1537
18BariBari35715133447-1336
19FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo3588194160-1932
20Lecco3568213266-3426


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