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Inter logo
Supercoppa Italiana | Semi-Finals
Jan 19, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium
Lazio logo

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Lazio

Thuram (17'), Calhanoglu (50' pen.), Frattesi (87')
Calhanoglu (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Romagnoli (64'), Vecino (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Supercoppa Italiana clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last Game: Monza 1-5 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio

 Inter not only have superior quality, but the Nerazzurri's know-how in cup ties underscores their tag as favourites, and they would take some stopping in the Supercoppa in Riyadh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 16.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLazio
60.87% (0.754 0.75) 22.14% (-0.121 -0.12) 16.99% (-0.636 -0.64)
Both teams to score 49.01% (-0.867 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.42% (-0.513 -0.51)48.58% (0.511 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.3% (-0.469 -0.47)70.7% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.075000000000003 0.08)15.5% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.14 0.14)44.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58% (-1.079 -1.08)42% (1.078 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.56% (-0.949 -0.95)78.44% (0.94800000000001 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 60.86%
    Lazio 16.99%
    Draw 22.13%
Inter MilanDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.13% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.03% (0.201 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.28% (0.102 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.84% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.081 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 60.86%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.51% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.13%
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.99%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lazio

Inter Milan
85.2%
Lazio
14.8%
88
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Lazio
0-2
Inter Milan

Casale (81')
Lazzari (86')
Martinez (40'), Thuram (66')
Thuram (26'), Barella (61')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Inter Milan
3-1
Lazio
Martinez (77', 90'), Gosens (83')
Anderson (30')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Anderson (40'), Alberto (75'), Pedro (86')
Zaccagni (56'), Marusic (64')
Martinez (51')
Brozovic (84')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Inter Milan
2-1
Lazio
Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')
Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Lazio
3-1
Inter Milan
Immobile (64' pen.), Anderson (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+1')
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Felipe (90+7')
Perisic (12' pen.)
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